Posts you may be interested in
With the Fed concluding their "mid-cycle adjustment" and the U.S. economy showing signs of new life, risk markets are poised to perform well through the remainder of 2019.
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For the last year, the two headed monster of Fed policy and Chinese trade tensions have captivated the markets. As we look ahead to the remainder of the year, where's the opportunity?
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Here's our quick perspective now that the Fed cut rates by a quarter point.
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The U.S. is officially in its longest expansion on record, breaking the previous record of 120 months that ended in March 2001. While it is the longest, it is also one of the weakest.
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2019 has given (almost) all investors a reason to smile – but can it continue?
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Solid US economic data and recent positive China Purchasing Managers Index keep us optimistic US Equities will trend higher, albeit at lower annualized returns than the past decade. Within equity sectors, we are most bullish on technology and healthcare. We believe communication services, financials, and REITs are the least attractive sectors.
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Earnings growth slows dramatically, margin pressures build, tighter monetary policy and sector and stock selection will continue to focus on industries and companies that should perform well late in this cycle.
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In a quarter where a “risk-on” mentality generally prevailed, the third quarter saw U.S. stocks gain, Treasury yields rise, and credit spreads tighten. For their part, U.S. Treasury investors looked past threats of tariffs and trade wars to an economy that is still strong by all accounts.
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The challenge for investors, and for us as advisors, is to balance the need for a long term, goals-based perspective and approach with the reality that markets are constantly moving and adjusting, creating new risk/reward tradeoffs, and frankly, challenges for us in meeting those objectives.
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- Optimizing Operations
- Economic Perspectives
- Financial Planning
- Market Commentary
As we move into the final quarter of 2018, the landscape is dotted with both opportunities and challenges, created by a combination of Federal Reserve policy, the Trump Administration, and frankly, time.
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